UPDATED: 08-26-26 20:41 PDT

stick Boston Univ
  
Boston Univ           
W-L: (17-17) PR = 94.2911

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 76-75 1107 H Northwestern B10 (15-19, 96.9) 52-76 1112 A Brown IVY ( 9-18, 94.0) 90-77 1115 H Merrimack MAAC (22-12, 95.5) 79-91 1118 H Columbia IVY (16-12, 95.1) 49-54 1122 A Harvard IVY (17-12, 95.2) 75-74 1125 H Penn St B10 (12-20, 96.2) 87-96 1129 H No Kentucky HL (20-14, 95.3) 65-74 1203 A NOVTJ **-57 1206 H New Hamp. AE ( 9-21, 93.3) 82-88 1210 H Maine AE ( 8-24, 93.2) 59-69 1213 H Dartmouth IVY (11-16, 94.4) 64-77 1221 A UMass Lowell AE (15-18, 93.9) 88-76 1231 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 77-82 103 H American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 62-64 107 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 83-67 110 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) **-91 114 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 91-93 117 H Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 57-74 121 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 77-73 124 H Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 79-80 128 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 50-58 131 H Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) **-** 202 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 72-64 207 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 78-69 211 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 85-68 214 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 82-69 216 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 85-58 222 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 67-70 225 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 78-63 228 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 68-65 305 A American PAT (16-17, 94.5) 75-73 308 A Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 73-72 311 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 60-74

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1103 A Northeastern           76-75       1     0           0.83
  1107 H Northwestern           52-76     -24    -3           0.00
  1112 A Brown                  90-77      13     0           1.68
  1115 H Merrimack              79-91     -12    -1          -0.80
  1118 H Columbia               49-54      -5    -1          -1.16
  1122 A Harvard                75-74       1    -1           1.94
  1125 H Penn St                87-96      -9    -2          -0.08
  1129 H No Kentucky            65-74      -9    -1          -1.03
  1206 H New Hamp.              82-88      -6     1    -     -3.03
  1210 H Maine                  59-69     -10     1    -     -3.12
  1213 H Dartmouth              64-77     -13     0          -1.91
  1221 A UMass Lowell           88-76      12     0           1.60
  1231 H Navy                   77-82      -5    -1          -0.86
   103 H American               62-64      -2     0          -1.82
   107 A Lafayette              83-67      16     0           1.51
   110 A Army                   **-91       9     1           1.27
   114 H Lehigh                 91-93      -2     0          -1.92
   117 H Loyola-MD              57-74     -17     1    -     -2.60
   121 A Lafayette              77-73       4     0           1.51
   124 H Colgate                79-80      -1     0          -0.60
   128 H Navy                   50-58      -8    -1          -0.86
   131 H Bucknell               **-**    -155     1    -     -2.53
   202 A Holy Cross             72-64       8     1           1.34
   207 A Loyola-MD              78-69       9     1           1.42
   211 A Army                   85-68      17     1           1.27
   214 A Bucknell               82-69      13     1           1.49
   216 A Colgate                85-58      27     0    +      2.42
   222 H Lehigh                 67-70      -3     0          -1.92
   225 A Holy Cross             78-63      15     1           1.34
   228 A American               68-65       3     0    +      2.20
   305 A American               75-73       2     0    +      2.20
   308 A Navy                   73-72       1    -1    +      2.16
   311 H Lehigh                 60-74     -14     0          -1.92

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1206 H New Hamp.              82-88      -6     1    -     -3.03
  1210 H Maine                  59-69     -10     1    -     -3.12
   117 H Loyola-MD              57-74     -17     1    -     -2.60
   131 H Bucknell               **-**    -155     1    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Colgate                85-58      27     0    +      2.42
   228 A American               68-65       3     0    +      2.20
   305 A American               75-73       2     0    +      2.20
   308 A Navy                   73-72       1    -1    +      2.16

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Northeastern    ( 7-24, 94.1)    76-75       -5.79       1.68       0.01         1.00             3.39
   3 H Northwestern    (15-19, 96.9)    52-76       -3.02       4.46      -0.01         1.00            -1.51
   3 A Brown           ( 9-18, 94.0)    90-77       -5.94       1.54       0.01         1.00             3.09
   3 H Merrimack       (22-12, 95.5)    79-91       -4.40       3.07      -0.01         1.00            -2.21
   3 H Columbia        (16-12, 95.1)    49-54       -4.75       2.72      -0.01         1.00            -2.38
   3 A Harvard         (17-12, 95.2)    75-74       -4.68       2.79       0.01         1.00             5.61
   3 H Penn St         (12-20, 96.2)    87-96       -3.68       3.80      -0.01         1.00            -1.84
   3 H No Kentucky     (20-14, 95.3)    65-74       -4.63       2.85      -0.01         1.00            -2.32
   3 H New Hamp.       ( 9-21, 93.3)    82-88       -6.63       1.00      -0.01         1.00            -3.32
   3 H Maine           ( 8-24, 93.2)    59-69       -6.72       1.00      -0.01         1.00            -3.37
   3 H Dartmouth       (11-16, 94.4)    64-77       -5.51       1.97      -0.01         1.00            -2.76
   3 A UMass Lowell    (15-18, 93.9)    88-76       -6.02       1.46       0.01         1.00             2.94
   3 H Navy            (26- 8, 95.4)    77-82       -4.46       3.02      -0.01         1.00            -2.23
   3 H American        (16-17, 94.5)    62-64       -5.42       2.06      -0.01         1.00            -2.72
   3 A Lafayette       (11-22, 93.8)    83-67       -6.11       1.36       0.01         1.00             2.75
   3 A Army            (11-21, 93.5)    **-91       -6.35       1.12       0.01         1.00             2.27
   3 H Lehigh          (19-17, 94.4)    91-93       -5.52       1.96      -0.01         1.00            -2.76
   3 H Loyola-MD       (12-20, 93.7)    57-74       -6.20       1.28      -0.01         1.00            -3.11
   3 A Lafayette       (11-22, 93.8)    77-73       -6.11       1.36       0.01         1.00             2.75
   3 H Colgate         (18-15, 94.7)    79-80       -5.20       2.28      -0.01         1.00            -2.60
   3 H Navy            (26- 8, 95.4)    50-58       -4.46       3.02      -0.01         1.00            -2.23
   3 H Bucknell        (10-23, 93.8)    **-**       -6.13       1.34      -0.01         1.00            -3.07
   3 A Holy Cross      (11-22, 93.6)    72-64       -6.28       1.20       0.01         1.00             2.42
   3 A Loyola-MD       (12-20, 93.7)    78-69       -6.20       1.28       0.01         1.00             2.57
   3 A Army            (11-21, 93.5)    85-68       -6.35       1.12       0.01         1.00             2.27
   3 A Bucknell        (10-23, 93.8)    82-69       -6.13       1.34       0.01         1.00             2.71
   3 A Colgate         (18-15, 94.7)    85-58       -5.20       2.28       0.01         1.00             4.58
   3 H Lehigh          (19-17, 94.4)    67-70       -5.52       1.96      -0.01         1.00            -2.76
   3 A Holy Cross      (11-22, 93.6)    78-63       -6.28       1.20       0.01         1.00             2.42
   3 A American        (16-17, 94.5)    68-65       -5.42       2.06       0.01         1.00             4.13
   3 A American        (16-17, 94.5)    75-73       -5.42       2.06       0.01         1.00             4.13
   3 A Navy            (26- 8, 95.4)    73-72       -4.46       3.02       0.01         1.00             6.06
   3 H Lehigh          (19-17, 94.4)    60-74       -5.52       1.96      -0.01         1.00            -2.76
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        10.12

winning pts = 54.0993 losing points = -43.9807

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------